Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 109.238863 120.154865 131.238315 143.309432 156.061198 169.107779 183.440998
2026-01-25 86.766016 102.527981 119.225012 138.124469 158.819307 180.694011 205.466663
2026-02-01 70.741004 89.689052 110.593029 135.103915 162.803250 192.901017 227.844252
2026-02-08 59.253025 80.433694 104.716121 134.114431 168.266301 206.253248 251.268837
2026-02-15 51.273503 74.235699 101.509585 135.480332 175.890068 221.724502 276.956158
2026-02-22 46.320921 71.056826 101.365068 140.035215 186.943152 240.993335 306.993758
2026-03-01 41.080392 66.881322 99.500612 142.109782 194.767588 256.343075 332.453886
2026-03-08 35.464192 61.571853 95.690246 141.343616 198.823193 267.013939 352.298236
2026-03-15 31.760185 58.444923 94.355279 143.410480 206.145648 281.462802 376.565492
2026-03-22 29.407566 56.961021 94.991588 147.854754 216.337124 299.354291 404.989683
2026-03-29 26.755300 54.740888 94.407717 150.535508 224.195784 314.352249 429.942992
2026-04-05 24.688726 53.181646 94.569591 154.079197 233.079600 330.588817 456.429118
2026-04-12 22.481173 51.235538 94.117695 156.821803 241.055803 345.921180 482.155950
2026-04-19 18.236444 45.458252 87.744625 151.159663 237.847939 347.120826 490.439757
2026-04-26 15.138039 41.199410 83.281971 147.869427 237.550149 351.841720 502.990706
2026-05-03 12.918690 38.201667 80.502705 146.772210 240.045286 360.036768 519.842771
2026-05-10 11.466405 36.453880 79.539584 148.191259 245.885405 372.513323 542.101518
2026-05-17 10.794554 36.177863 80.896353 152.995785 256.374930 391.060331 572.122692
2026-05-24 9.720310 34.911281 80.530662 155.181468 263.227775 404.884765 596.202211
2026-05-31 8.276406 32.600417 78.251828 154.366888 265.824817 413.094011 613.118793
2026-06-07 7.436605 31.520685 77.984002 156.549680 272.592979 426.795756 637.101518
2026-06-14 7.019664 31.393038 79.349941 161.244955 282.932088 445.269942 667.296302
2026-06-21 6.392074 30.635537 79.538159 164.075809 290.616206 460.238107 693.023474